cmd34
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Even good teams cant account for what other teams end up doing though.
Hey its a great idea, trade down to 10-15 and still get Elliott plus some other stuff. The problem comes is if you trade down thinking he's "our guy" and somebody else between 5 and whenever we pick takes him, or trades their pick to someone else who ends up taking him.
Always a risk. Again, the good teams evaluate these guys and have a good feel for what other teams are doing. You can't just take a guy at whatever pick because you are fearful that some team might draft him. You need to be strategic and make judgment calls. Who knows, maybe we do that, which explains why we tend to draft 7th round guys in the 4th round.
From the few guys I've been able to talk to who have been in draft rooms it goes down like this. You get to your draft spot and you look at your board. If you have a high grade on a guy, you take him. If you have comparable guys (that you don't love) you move down, if possible within the range that still guarantees you one of those comparable players. If you get an offer that blows your socks off, and again, you aren't in love with the player, you take it. It's a lot of luck but there is skill to it. Jerry is impulsive and changes strategies too often. He doesn't learn from his past draft mistakes, he blames them on nonsensical excuses.
The thing we don't know is the grades the Cowboys put on these players and if they compare to the rest of the league. We were lucky enough to see the Cowboys board two years in a row and we saw some serious discrepancies. I remember (mainly because they were Trojans) that one year we didn't even have Robert Woods or TJ McDonald on our board at all. Which means we wouldn't even have taken those players in the 7th round. The Bills took Woods in the 2nd and the Rams took McDonald in the 3rd. Both players have played fairly well for those teams. Yet, we wouldn't take those guys in the 4th, 5th, 6th, or 7th rounds?