Sturm: Ezekiel Elliott had better be Adrian Peterson to justify Cowboys' selection

bbgun

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The Cowboys had a choice to make this weekend and they made it without hesitation. There is no indication that it had unanimous consent from the decision-makers, but that doesn't matter. The choice came down to continuing to double-down on the Tony Romo era and to take every resource and dedicate it to the "here and now" -- or not.

If you enjoyed those three Super Bowls of the 1990s (and I hope you did), then you understand life with Jerry Jones. He is not going to be interested in safe plays or conservative plans to build an empire that will last for a decade when the more attractive choice gives a lottery ticket to the next Super Bowl. He has spoken recently about "his window," which is profoundly more meaningful than hearing about a career span. He is talking about his own life. I imagine if you have all of the money in the world and everything that can buy, you quickly realize that money cannot buy time. And when time runs out, either you feel like you took advantage of every day you had or you didn't.

That last paragraph is certainly an odd inclusion in a draft summary, but it might explain decision-making for this organization. You see, there comes a point in any person's life when they stop worrying about saving for retirement and start enjoying their money because the clock is ticking.

I would say the Cowboys have been in this phase of life for a while under their famous owner, but the 2016 draft decision makes it crystal clear.

"If this gets you a Super Bowl, isn't it worth it?"

The drafting of Ezekiel Elliott is for the "here and now." The Cowboys wanted the best running back in the draft and they got him -- read my full breakdown of the young man here. People are actually using the term "Triplets" again, even though in this case, the premise of the QB-RB-WR being born at the same time is replaced with the idea that the quarterback is almost old enough to be the running back's dad.

Elliott will give them a superb talent at a position that needed upgrading, and that should be celebrated. He should make an above-average offense a candidate to be one of the best offenses in the sport. There is nothing wrong with adding a potential blue-chipper. Well, except for the following:

-- If you do it, you are ignoring Jalen Ramsey. Ramsey, according to some reports, was the best player on the Cowboys' board and would have been a blue-chip addition as well. But, this guy could have anchored the defense, and if his career actually is similar to Ed Reed, Troy Polamalu, or Charles Woodson's, it is safe to say that it would have been that way for a decade or more. And we could argue that was needed in a much more severe way than fixing a running back situation that wasn't broken.

-- If you do it, you are risking an over-investment at a position that doesn't require it. I have suggested all along that the Cowboys should take a running back with either their second or third round pick, because it has been my claim that there are three to four prospects beyond Elliott who should be able to be dominant behind this Cowboys offensive line and with their offensive personnel. If you take one of those after you have tried to put one or two difference makers on a defense that lacks those studs, then you try to attack your offseason with a more global view of a game that requires "all three phases." Instead, they continue to invest in offense, offense, offense and hope their offense is so great they actually never play defense (I assume). Look at it this way: They paid almost nothing for Darren McFadden last year ... then took away Tony Romo ... then Dez Bryant ... then McFadden was not given the ball 11-plus times in a game until mid-October. Without being able to run zone plays with any effectiveness and only starting 10 games with no quarterback threat, he still finished fourth in the league in rushing. Odds are, if he started all 16, he might have won a rushing title. And they paid nothing for him. Does it make sense to pay a fortune to fix that? What needed fixing that couldn't have been accomplished for far less? In other words, Elliott is great, but you just bought a Maserati while living with your parents. It is a very nice car. But, perhaps we should move out of dad's house. The argument for a second- or third-round running back was always this: Why not get 80 percent of Ezekiel Elliott for 30 percent of the cost. In the third round, according to the point chart, pick No. 67 is about 14 percent of pick No. 4. Sigh. Keep in mind the total cost of Elliott is going to be about five years/$36 million if they pick up his option (which they better) -- in other words, way more than 24-year-old Lamar Miller got from Houston in free agency. So, yeah, he better be Adrian Peterson for this to make sense.

But, they did it. They are going for it. And they got a fine player. I just thought their quest for efficiency was incredibly inefficient. With a 53-man roster in a tight salary capped league, frivolous purchases seldom pay off. Which leads us back to this:

"If this gets you a Super Bowl, isn't it worth it?"

Well, yes. This is true. Although, we will always wonder if Derrick Henry or Devontae Booker or Kenneth Dixon, combined with Jalen Ramsey, might have put you as close or closer to that ultimate prize. But, those will now become bar-room discussions and labeled "unresolvable," just like the discussions about whether DeMarco Murray's exit really crashed everything or whether it's an easy conclusion to draw that likely is not the truth. How about the idea that if they took Jay Ajayi in last year's third or fourth round (with his knee concerns) -- instead of Chaz Green or Damien Wilson -- then, like Miami, they have their future running back and aren't thinking running back at all in this draft? Unfortunately, ifs and buts are not candy and nuts. Otherwise, it would be Christmas every day.

The pick has been made and the Cowboys have an elite talent. This fish has a really fancy bicycle. Let's hope it is everything it is dreamed to be.
 
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Very sobering article.

Although I don't get how he can say he has to be the next AP to prove worth it, then so casually say Ramsey might be the next Reed, Charles Woodson or Polamalu.
 

bbgun

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I too have doubts about Ramsey (seems more of a future SS than shutdown corner), but Ramsey + Henry in the 2nd round might have made more sense.
 
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Last years draft was a mess. There was this sense of "we don't need a running back in place of Murray, we are fine on our own". I even got the feeling that Jason was planning on a Dunbar and Randle offense, mainly because Randle's entire and ONLY draft strength was his receiving skills as a running back. I believe Jason was kind of insulted and slightly vengeful that his "System" that had produced so many yards but was very limited in the red zone and truly generating points was only effective with a strong running game - and not only that but once the play design and running game (for a player who had been on the team for 3 years already) were emphasized, the team flourished and the passing game was most effective. I have said it before, it's truly indicting of Jason's "system" that it fails the team until a part of his system that he ignores comes in to make the Cowboys excellent in 2014. So it begs the question, why didn't he run the ball earlier? It was not the O-line, it is much harder to sustain long pass blocking than run blocks so if the line were so weak, they had no business throwing 648 times. Last draft was Jason playing the game that the running game that insulted his leadership and coaching reputation over the team could be de-emphasized. Geoff Swaim? Chaz Green? Laurence Gibson? Mark Nzeocha? Damien Wilson?

But to Sturms condition about needing to be Adrian Peterson, Easy E does not need to do anything but get first downs, pass block, catch check downs and threaten the defense. He doesn't need to run the ball 25 times a game at all. Think about it, any short yardage situation is probably an average of 3-4 times per quarter. That's really not much but it will change the offense and once again point to how Bozo has mismanaged the team and restricted their progress.
 

ThoughtExperiment

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I have some doubt about Henry also -- the difference between EE and him on that cone drill was dramatic.

But if anything, we have the perfect OL for him. Not like he would be having to dodge people in the backfield. On most plays he'd have plenty of area to build up speed with those long legs.
 

dbair1967

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Peterson is a great player without a doubt, but he has his faults too. He has been prone to fumbling and he really isn't much of a receiver, two things that Elliott is great at. Ball security and hands/routes. Elliott is also a better blocker in pass protection.
 

MrB

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Zeke doesn't have to be as good as Peterson to be worth the pick. Peterson is a one in a generation player. If Zeke can be as good as Egerrain James is be happy.
 

onlyonenow

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Zeke doesn't have to be as good as Peterson to be worth the pick. Peterson is a one in a generation player. If Zeke can be as good as Egerrain James is be happy.

james was not all that. I would be disappointed if Elliot is only that good.
 

cmd34

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I know they meant impact but I think Elliott is much more Marshall Faulk than he is Peterson.
 

yimyammer

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I too have doubts about Ramsey (seems more of a future SS than shutdown corner), but Ramsey + Henry in the 2nd round might have made more sense.

That's what I was rooting for but who knows. The draft involves a lot of chance but it seems to me the better bet to hedge this risk was Ramsey/Henry over Elliot/Smith.

Time will tell...
 
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