I think the Giants win by 9 or so.
I think it'll come down to them having a small lead late, 6 minutes or so remaining. We'll need to convert a 3rd and 6 just on the outskirts of field goal range. We won't because a receiver runs the wrong route or drops a catchable ball, or maybe there's PI that isn't called. But we don't convert.
Then the defense can't get them off the field and they end up scoring back breaking points leaving us no shot to win.