NFL Week 1 Picks: Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

cmd34

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http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1251943-nfl-week-1-picks-dallas-cowboys-vs-new-york-giants

By Jeff Grant(Featured Columnist) on July 9, 2012

The Dallas Cowboys will need to perform better against divisional foes if they plan on reaching the 2012 NFL playoffs. They posted a 5-7 combined record in that situation the last two years.

The Cowboys are currently three-point road underdogs against the New York Giants in their Week 1 regular-season matchup on Sept. 5 (courtesy of SBR Forum), while the total has moved up a half point to 47.

Sports bettors will need to be cautious in backing America's Team in the season opener. The franchise has registered a 2-10 against-the-spread (ATS) record versus NFC East opponents since 2010. They have also failed to cover the spread in six of seven games as an underdog of three or fewer points in that role.

Dallas is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games on the road in this series, including a 31-14 setback as three-point underdogs at MetLife Stadium on Jan. 1. It's still important to note that the Cowboys are on a 25-14 ATS run in September when playing away from the Lone Star State.

New York is the defending Super Bowl champion, and will enter the 2012 NFL season on a 6-0 ATS run, which includes four spread victories during last year's postseason run. The Giants managed to cover just one of three home games against divisional teams last year.

Eli Manning has become one of the league's elite players, but the Giants signal-caller is a disappointing 31-32-1 ATS at home during his career. It's a statistic that shouldn't carry too much weight in this matchup, considering Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo is 19-20-1 ATS on the road.

I'm going to recommend taking the points at this juncture, as the Cowboys performed well in last year's season opener against the New York Jets in this stadium, ultimately dropping a 27-24 decision as 6.5-point underdogs.

Dallas will also be playing with double revenge after dropping both series meetings a year ago.

Early Pick: Dallas Cowboys +3



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Last year, Jets opened -3 vs Cowboys in the season opener.

AFC Champ participant vs a 6-10 team.

Jets won by 3.

Granted, we Romo'd the game away, but still.
 

GloryDaysRBack

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Last year, Jets opened -3 vs Cowboys in the season opener.

AFC Champ participant vs a 6-10 team.

Jets won by 3.


Granted, we Romo'd the game away, but still.

Jets opened at -4 and it closed higher than that. Dallas covered week 1..It doesn't matter what week it is. It takes an idiot to not to know the DEFENDING super bowl champs should be favored by more than 3 AT HOME vs Dallas. I'm not very talented but one thing I can do is read lines
 

GloryDaysRBack

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Last year, Jets opened -3 vs Cowboys in the season opener.

AFC Champ participant vs a 6-10 team.

Jets won by 3.

Granted, we Romo'd the game away, but still.

You are making my point for me. I said the SAME thing last year that I'm saying now. DEFENDING AFC champs at home vs 6-10 Dallas only favored by 4?!? I said gimme Dallas. And Dallas covered. Should have won outright.

Now we are playing the SUPER BOWL champs and the line is smaller?!! LMFAO..Vegas isn't stupid man..gamblers are
 
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