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Dynasty Ranks: Running Backs


Tier One

1. Adrian Peterson, Vikings
2. Chris Johnson, Titans
3. Jamaal Charles, Chiefs

The three most uniquely talented backs in the NFL. All three of them can produce RB1 fantasy numbers regardless of coaches, scheme, or even supporting cast. CJ2K is a fantastic buy this offseason. … Charles proved to be the best player on the field against the Ravens in the Wild Card round loss. That comes as no surprise to anybody who has watched him play on a regular basis the past two seasons.

Tier Two

4. Arian Foster, Texans
5. Ray Rice, Ravens
6. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jaguars
7. Jonathan Stewart, Panthers
8. LeSean McCoy, Eagles
9. Rashard Mendenhall, Steelers
10. Darren McFadden, Raiders

Foster emerged as one of the premier all-around tailback talents in the league. Though his success is not merely a byproduct of Houston's zone-blocking scheme, there's no question that he's ideally suited to Gary Kubiak's offense. … Like Chris Johnson, Rice is an outstanding buy this offseason. Despite a dramatic dropoff in run blocking (and a heavy dose of bad luck), Rice still finished third in the league in total yards. The touchdowns are coming.

Jones-Drew belongs in the top tier on talent alone, but the knee is cause for pause. Meniscus surgery isn't automatic. Just ask Antonio Bryant and Torry Holt. … Stewart is one of the handful of most talented backs in the NFL, and we'll see that on a regular basis if the Panthers move on from free agent DeAngelo Williams. … McCoy benefits from playing with Michael Vick. He also proved more than capable of filling the Brian Westbrook role. … Mendenhall doesn't wow onlookers, but he does everything well as the workhorse for one of the league's steadiest franchises. … McFadden would be at least three spots higher if we could count on him to play 16 games a year.

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Tier Three

11. Matt Forte, Bears
12. Knowshon Moreno, Broncos
13. Jahvid Best, Lions
14. Ryan Mathews, Chargers
15. Frank Gore, 49ers
16. DeAngelo Williams, Panthers / Free Agent
17. Ahmad Bradshaw, Giants / Free Agent
18. Steven Jackson, Rams

Forte was so overvalued after his rookie season that many owners still don't trust him despite a second top-ten fantasy finish in three years. Over the final six weeks, he was fifth in yards-per-carry and third in total yards. … One of the few every-down backs in the NFL, Moreno is a top-10 fantasy back if he can make it through 16 games without injury.

Best and Mathews are ahead of Gore, Williams, and S-Jax purely due to the age factor. Running backs spring a leak at age 28 and the value seeps out slowly until the toe hits the cliff. It's the lay of the land. … D-Will could resume RB1 value depending on where he lands. … It looks like all of the hits and heavy workloads are starting to catch up with S-Jax. … Bradshaw will be ranked higher on most lists. I just don't trust him to stick in the feature back role long-term considering his injury history. I'm not alone, either. His own offensive coordinator has admitted concern that Bradshaw won't continue to hold up to the workload considering his aggressive style and chronic feet/ankle injuries.

Tier Four

19. Peyton Hillis, Browns
20. Felix Jones, Cowboys
21. LeGarrette Blount, Buccaneers
22. Michael Turner, Falcons
23. Beanie Wells, Cardinals
24. Shonn Greene, Jets
25. C.J. Spiller, Bills
26. BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Patriots

Hillis' late-season fade is a slight concern, and he lost a guaranteed heavy workload when Eric Mangini walked out the door. I think he's overvalued heading into 2011. … Among feature backs, Felix remains one of the biggest injury risks. … Turner owners can't deal him for anything close to fair value right now. He lost a step this year.

I still believe in Beanie's second-tier talent, but he has to prove that he can fight through injuries while remaining effective. … I see Blount as a long-term committee back. … Spiller's talent is tempting, but I've never believed he could run between the tackles. … Lawfirm had plenty of value in 2010, but that doesn't mean he's the Patriots' running back of the future. It wouldn't be a surprise if Bill Belichick opts for backfield competition this offseason.

Tier Five

27. Pierre Thomas, Saints / Free Agent
28. Fred Jackson, Bills
29. Ryan Grant, Packers
30. Marshawn Lynch, Seahawks
31. Cedric Benson, Bengals / Free Agent
32. Michael Bush, Raiders / Free Agent
33. Chris Ivory, Saints
34. James Starks, Packers
35. Tashard Choice, Cowboys

I think Thomas will return to New Orleans to split touches with an injury-prone Ivory. … F-Jax may have another year of RB2 value while the Bills feel out Spiller to see if he can pick up pass blocking and learn not to bounce all of his runs outside. … Lynch's beast-mode touchdown run against the Saints doesn't change the fact that he's a mediocre player.

Starks' performance against the Falcons bears watching, but I still think Grant is the favorite to enter 2011 as the starter. … Choice remains a high-upside stash. … Benson and Bush owners are crossing their fingers and hoping for a dream landing spot.
 
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Tier Six

36. Ryan Torain, Redskins
37. Ronnie Brown, Dolphins / Free Agent
38. Joseph Addai, Colts / Free Agent
39. Donald Brown, Colts
40. Bernard Scott, Bengals
41. Danny Woodhead, Patriots
42. Toby Gerhart, Vikings
43. Mike Tolbert, Chargers
44. Rashad Jennings, Jaguars
45. Reggie Bush, Saints

I have no confidence in Torain staying healthy and productive for a full season. … Brown could enjoy a bounce-back season getting out from behind the Dolphins' anemic offensive line. … The Colts almost have to bring Addai back because Brown has given them no reason to trust him. "Damnit Donald" is a negative play waiting to happen.

Scott will be paired with a bigger back if Benson signs elsewhere. … Gerhart, Tolbert, and Jennings are the best of the backups. … Bush is a brittle passing-down specialist.

Tier Seven

46. Ben Tate, Texans
47. Montario Hardesty, Browns
48. Mike Goodson, Panthers
49. Willis McGahee, Ravens / Free Agent*
50. Brandon Jacobs, Giants / Free Agent
51. Tim Hightower, Cardinals
52. Marion Barber, Cowboys / Free Agent*
53. LaDainian Tomlinson, Jets
54. Deji Karim, Jaguars
55. Anthony Dixon, 49ers
56. Brian Westbrook, 49ers / Free Agent

Tate and Hardesty lost out on prime opportunities last summer. They'll enter the 2011 season as handcuffs, though Hardesty could work his way into a committee attack with Peyton Hillis. … McGahee won't be back with the Ravens. There's a slim chance he or Jacobs could fall into a starting job for a season or two. … Hightower is a middling talent best used as a role player. ... Tomlinson and Westbrook could each have another season of flex value.

Tier Eight

57. Jerome Harrison, Eagles / Free Agent
58. Darren Sproles, Chargers / Free Agent
59. Jason Snelling, Falcons / Free Agent
60. Justin Forsett, Seahawks
61. Joe McKnight, Jets
62. Steve Slaton, Texans
63. Kevin Smith, Lions / Restricted Free Agent
64. Ricky Williams, Dolphins / Free Agent*
65. Derrick Ward, Texans / Free Agent
66. Clinton Portis, Redskins / Free Agent*
67. Thomas Jones, Chiefs
68. Jerious Norwood, Falcons / Free Agent
69. Leon Washington, Seahawks / Free Agent
70. Laurence Maroney, Broncos / Free Agent

Most of the free agents will remain pure backups or change-of-pace options in 2011, though one or two could hit the lottery behind an injury-prone starter in a dynamic offense.

Tier Nine

71. Javon Ringer, Titans
72. Jonathan Dwyer, Steelers
73. Marcel Reece, Raiders
74. Cadillac Williams, Buccaneers / Free Agent
75. Tyrell Sutton, Panthers
76. Isaac Redman, Steelers
77. Le'Ron McClain, Ravens
78. Jalen Parmele, Ravens
79. Chester Taylor, Bears
80. Danny Ware, Giants / Free Agent
81. Mike Bell, Browns / Free Agent
82. Kareem Huggins, Buccaneers
83. Mike Hart, Colts
84. Joique Bell, Saints
85. Julius Jones, Saints / Free Agent
86. James Davis, Redskins
87. Keiland Williams, Redskins
88. Maurice Morris, Lions
89. Brandon Jackson, Packers
90. LaRod Stephens-Howling, Cardinals

Handcuffs, tweeners, and stiffs. Reece is an interesting case if the Raiders move him into the Michael Bush role in 2011. He's the most athletically gifted fullback I've ever seen.

* Not scheduled for free agency, but likely to be released this offseason.
 
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